NRL Tips – Dragons v Dolphins

There is nothing fashionable about the Dragons right now but they are getting far too many points at home against a Dolphins team that has been mixing form of late.

Best Bet

Dragons +12.5

Line

Bet Now

$1.85

The Dolphins are one of the most aesthetically pleasing teams in the competition to watch but that should not blind bettors to the incredibly dangerous spot they are entering this week as huge road favourites against the Dragons.

Home favourites of 12.5 or more have covered at 65% the last four years while interstate favourites of more than two converted tries have covered at just 29%.

The Dragons have struggled with the ball but they really have not thrown the towel in yet. They have covered five of their last six getting 6.5 or more points while they have covered four of five at night.

The Dolphins have covered just two of seven as an interstate favourite and just two of eight off a double digit win.

The plus is the bet.

Same Game Multi

Under 49.5/Tyrell Sloan Try/Selwyn Cobbo Try

Same Game Multi

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$7.50

The under has hit in 71% of night games this year with the under lobbing in 25 of the last 28 games under lights.

Tyrell Sloan has been the best tryscoring option for the Dragons with five tries in his last five games.

Selwyn Cobbo has been reborn at the Dolphins, scoring eight tries in his last six games.

Value Bet

Connelly Lemuelu

To Score A Try

Bet Now

$3.40

The Dragons have been vulnerable defensively on their right edge, conceding 45% of tries through that channel. That sets up well for Connelly Lemuelu, who has scored three tries in his last six games. He crossed twice against the Dragons the last time the teams met and looks a good bet to get over again.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.