The Dolphins come off one of their most impressive wins and host a Newcastle team that has lost their best player but the bet in this one is the Knights with the market overreacting significantly.
Best Bet
It has been a difficult season – and a particularly difficult week – for the Knights, The team is mired in the bottom four and not only lost their star player Kalyn Ponga for an extended period but there have been questions asked about the medical care he has been provided. There has also been talk about training dustups including half Jackson Hastings.
All that noise typically leads to a strong showing. And the market has well-and-truly overreacted to all that is happening at Newcastle.
That has led to a Dolphins team missing six stars – Tabuai-Fidow, Farnworth, Flegler, Gilbert, Kaufusi and Lemuelu – being installed as the biggest favourites in their 31-game existence.
It is too much.
The Knights actually score over two points more per game with Ponga out and cover at a clip of 14% more.
Newcastle have to be the bet.
Same Game Multi
Jack Bostock is emerging as an elite tryscorer, scoring seven tries in six games as the Dolphins skew left with their attack.
Bradman Best has 16 tries in his last 32 games.
Value Bet
Max Plath is only six games into his NRL career but is already developing a reputation as a hard-working tackling machine whose support play is second-to-none. He has three tries in six games and comes into this off a double. He is huge odds to score.
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