The NRL is off to Coffs Harbour on Friday night with the Sharks heavily favoured to make it 10 straight against the Titans but the smart money will be on the plus.
Best Bet
The Sharks have certainly had the best of the Titans in recent years with nine straight win including eight covers in that run.
Gold Coast absolutely are the bet this week though getting a very large start.
Cronulla have fallen in a hole with four losses in their last five, primarily caused by Nicho Hynes’ dramatic drop in confidence and subsequently form.
The Titans have mixed form of late but do have four wins in their last eight meetings and all four wins were as an underdog. They come into this off a 66-6 win over the Warriors followed by a bye.
This is a great spot for the Titans. Underdogs off scoring 56-plus cover at 73%. Teams off scoring 48-plus cover at 67% the last four years.
With the Titans covering five of seven against Top 4 teams and making the nut in six straight getting a start of 6.5 or more, they are an excellent bet.
Insights
📊 Cronulla’s Covering Success: Cronulla has managed to cover the line in 7 of their last 8 games against Gold Coast, showing their strength in these matches.
🔝 High Scores Don’t Equal Wins: After scoring more than 36 points in the previous week, Gold Coast has only achieved 2 wins and 2 covers over their last 15 games.
🔵 Cronulla’s Struggle as Favourites: Cronulla has not performed well as favourites recently, with no wins or covers in their last 4 games in this role.
Same Game Multi
Alofiana Khan-Pereira is arguably the best tryscorer in the NRL with 34 tries in 34 NRL appearances.
AJ Brimson had five tries in his four games before going down with an injury.
Value Bet
Beau Fermor is a quality edge runner who has been used at centre at times this year. He has just three tries this year but he has 20 tries in 54 starts in the NRL so is over the odds at $4.50.
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