The Melbourne Storm are historically excellent value when playing after a loss, particularly a big one.
Best Bet
No team responds better to adversity than the Melbourne Storm. The Storm have covered 11 of 16 off a loss. They have covered four straight off a double digit loss. They are 15-8 against the spread off conceding more than 18. And there were excuses last week. Not only was Ryan Papenjuyzen out but Jahrome Hughes was a late withdrawal and Harry Grant took a knock very early that rendered him a passenger for much of the match.
Being on the road poses no concerns for Melbourne. They have covered 39 of 60 away from AAMI and are 30-15 against the spread on the road when favoured by more than a try.
They have also been locked in camp all week and the Storm always perform well after a camp.
The Cowboys have been good this year but have benefited from a very soft draw. They have covered just 6 of 18 getting more than a try and just 4 of 14 off a double digit win.
The Storm should win well, particularly if Jahrome Hughes returns.
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Same Game Multi
Justin Olam Try/Cameron Munster Try ($6.25)
Justin Olam has scored six tries in the last six weeks and gets a plus-matchup against Peta Hiku.
Cameron Munster is looking as strong as he ever has and has scored three tries in the last five weeks.
Value Bet
Brandon Smith has scored 12 tries across the last two seasons. He has a particularly good tryscoring record when starting as a prop/lock, scoring three tries in nine games.
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