North Queensland are very big favourites to roll Newcastle in the first elimination final of the weekend but given their propensity to throw in a shocker, the value is with the Knights.
Best Bet
North Queensland may be many things – talented, fast, sharp – but one word that is fired off by nobody is reliable.
As classy as the Cowboys can look at times, they can put in an absolute shocker, as witnessed by the home flogging given to them recently by the Broncos.
The Cowboys have also covered just three of 14 at home, a hugely worrying number.
It would take a game bettor to lay such a big start to be with the Cowboys.
The Knights travel well, having covered 10 of 12 away games and 13 of 17 interstate. Getting more than a converted try interstate, the Knights have covered six on end.
Fancy there is plenty of value with the Knights here.
Insights
🚀 Sydney Roosters Away: Sydney Roosters games have gone over the total in 8 of their last 10 away games. 🌧️
🔥 Sydney Roosters Off Loss: After a loss, Sydney Roosters have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games. 💪
🏟️ Sydney Roosters at ANZ Stadium: Sydney Roosters have struggled at ANZ Stadium, with only 3 wins in their last 9 games. ⚔️
Same Game Multi
Kyle Feldt has been simply astonishing this year with 22 tries in 23 matches including 11 tries in his last six appearances.
Fletcher Sharpe has been outstanding since coming into the top grade with 10 tries in 11 appearances.
Value Bet
Dylan Lucas gets a super matchup this week when he will spend Saturday night running at Jeremiah Nanai. He has six tries in 20 games this season so knows his way to the tryline. Excellent value.
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