NRL Tips – Clive Churchill Medal Preview – Grand Final 2025

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Best Bet

Jahrome Hughes

Clive Churchill Medal Winner

$7.00

Let’s first of all look at the profile of players who win the Clive Churchill Medal. It will guide us significantly when looking at best bets.

• 36 of 39 winners had played Origin/Test football prior to winning
• 4 winners from losing team
• 0 back-to-back winners
• 3 two-time winners

Let’s also look at the positions of winners and the last time someone from that position won the award.
Fullback: 7 winners, 3 in last decade, last 2022
Wing: 0 winners
Centre: 0 winners
Five-Eighth: 4 winners, 2 in last decade, last 2019
Halfback: 12 winners, 3 in last decade, last 2023
Hooker: 2 winners, 0 in last decade, last 2006
Prop: 3 winners, 0 in last decade, last 2008
Second Row: 4 winners, 2 in last decade, last in 2024
Lock: 6 winners, 0 in last decade, last in 2014

So essentially what we are looking for is a rep player from the winning team, preferably playing in the halves or at fullback and definitely not playing in the three-quarter line. Halves and fullbacks have won seven straight until last year.

From the Storm team the players to focus on are Cameron Munster, Jahrome Hughes, Eliesa Katoa, Trent Loiero and Harry Grant.

For the Broncos attention should be with Reece Walsh, Ben Hunt, Adam Reynolds, Payne Haas, Patrick Carrigan and, at a stretch, Jordan Riki.

Hughes is the clear top selection. He is as decorated a player as there is on the field with a Dally M Medal and 10 Tests to his name and he also has the benefit of the narrative behind him. He is without question Melbourne’s best player and one that really is incredibly difficult to shut down. He finished with 19 try assists in 19 games while he finished second in 40/20s. The pick of the faves with the Storm being such a confident play.

Next Best

Patrick Carrigan

Clive Churchill Medal Winner

$15.00

Not keen on Brisbane at all in this one but there is value about Patrick Carrigan. It has been a while since a middle has claimed the Clive Churchill Meal with even the great Isaah Yeo not getting the nod in any of Penrith’s four. Carrigan puts together some extraordinary numbers though and he stands out visually.

Value Bet

Eliesa Katoa

Clive Churchill Medal Winner

$19.00

Eliesa Katoa is the form second rower of the competition and does tick every box. Edges have a much better recent record than middles and edges who score tries put themselves front and centre. Katoa has played five Tests for Tonga and scores a ton of tries. Looks a big price.

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