One of the fiercest rivalries in the NRL, Canterbury host Parramatta on the King’s Birthday Monday and it is the Bulldogs who will be very confident of turning around a run of outs in the rivalry.
Best Bet
There is not a lot of respect being afforded to Canterbury here.
They are the second best defensive team in the NRL and sit well ahead of Parramatta on the ladder. The Bulldogs attack is also off back-to-back scores of 30-plus.
The Eels have Mitch Moses and Clint Gutherson back but they remain coached by Trent Barrett.
Barrett has won just 17 of 60 NRL games.
When two bottom nine teams play, the underdog covers at 60%.
The Bulldogs are the bet.
Insights
🚫 Parramatta’s Struggles to Cover on the Road: Parramatta has had a tough time covering the spread away from home, achieving only 1 cover in their last 7 away games.
🔥 High-Scoring Parramatta Games Away: When playing away, Parramatta has been involved in high-scoring matches, with 27 of their last 30 away games going over the total points line.
⚡ Canterbury Off a Win: Canterbury’s games after a win have generally been low-scoring, with all 5 of their last 5 such games going under the total points line.
Same Game Multi
Jacob Kiraz gets a great matchup against defensive liability Maika Sivo and he has five tries in his last five games on the wing.
Matt Burton has four tries in his last three games and now has eight tries for the year.
Value Bet
Second-year backrower Jacob Preston has already become one of the elite hole runners in the NRL for someone at his position and it is resulting in tries. Since returning from injury, he has four tries in his last three games including a double in his only start. Against the second worst defence in the NRL, he is a great hope of scoring.
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