The Raiders and Warriors are both on the outside looking into the Top 8 so wins are crucial as he kick off the eighth last round of the season.
Best Bet
Canberra and New Zealand open Round 20 in what shapes as a must-win game for both teams.
The Raiders get plenty of troops back for this one with Jamal Fogarty returning after a long abscence while Hudson Young and Zac Hosking also return.
The Warriors have lost a ton of troops of late with Tohu Harris now out for the year and Charnze Nicholl-Klokstad now out for a month.
Canberra are an unreliable proposition at home but have been backed so there is a lean there. The top play though is the over.
There should be plenty of points in this one.
The over has hit in the last three Raiders-Warriors games but the most notable stat here that that the over hits at 61.8% where there is a team shorter than $2 off a bye.
The over is 12-3 when the Raiders play at night and 5-2 when they are off a bye.
The over is 8-2 when the Warriors are off conceding 13 or fewer and is 5-1 when the Warriors are off a bye.
Insights
🏟️ Canberra at Canberra Stadium: Canberra has failed to cover the spread in their last 4 games at Canberra Stadium. 📉
🔝 Canberra Against Bottom 9 Teams: Canberra games against bottom 9 teams have been low-scoring, with the under achieved in 7 out of the last 9 games. 📉
💪 NZ Warriors Dominance: The NZ Warriors have a strong record at Canberra Stadium, with covers in 7 out of the last 8 games played there. 💪
Same Game Multi
Hudson Young has four tries in his eight games against the Warriors and is enjoying a good tryscoring season with seven in 2024.
Ali Leiataua scored in one of his two NRL games and he has 12 tries in 24 NSW Cup games so can find the line.
Value Bet
Sebastian Kris has not had the best tryscoring season with just two tries in 13 games but he has an excellent tryscoring record against the Warriors and looks a good bet this week. Kris has four tries in five games against the Wahs and gets a matchup against poor defender Adam Pompey.
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