A record crowd will be in attendance at Accor Stadium for the traditional Good Friday clash with the Bulldogs aiming to extend their unbeaten start to the season. Fresh off the bye, they welcome back the duo of Kikau and Burton so it will be a case of firing on all cylinders for Cameron Ciraldo’s side.
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Packed house, fierce defence and an Origin-like atmosphere means we will have a very tight game on our hands. The Under has held on in all 6 Rabbitohs games this year with an average of 39.7 total match points in their matches.
The Bulldogs are the benchmark defensively this season and have held teams to 11.6ppg. Notably, the Under has held on in 81% of their games following a win in the last year.
There is an additional push for the Unders with 8 of the last 11 meetings hosted by the Bulldogs in this series falling short of the set total. There has also been a trend of low totals in previous Good Friday games with 9 of the 12 producing fewer than 40 total match points.
Same Game Multi
This line has ballooned to double digits which has increased the odds for the Bulldogs to win by a 1-12 margin. The Rabbitohs have covered the line in 5 of 6 games played this season and the aim under Bennett is somewhat similar to the Bulldogs – complete at a high rate to gain territorial advantage and keep the errors to a minimum.
These two teams force their opposition to beat them on the outside and have combined to concede only 5 tries through the middle third. The Bulldogs have conceded 11 tries this season and 8 of those have been down their right third of their defence – the Rabbitohs left in attack (Tass).
It is a similar story for the Rabbitohs (12 of 23) so we will be adding Montoya to round off the 3-leg multi.
Value Bet
The Bulldogs have been clinical this year and it has been on the back of fast starts. They have scored the opening try in all five games played this season led by Marcelo Montoya who has claimed 1st tryscorer honours twice. With the Rabbitohs forcing teams to beat them on the outside, Montoya is over the odds despite being the favourie.
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