Canterbury pushed Melbourne to the limits last Friday and they can push Penrith to the limits on Sunday even as the Panthers chase an obscene 14th straight finals win.
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Best Bet
There has been absolutely no respect afforded Canterbury in this match with the Bulldogs 8.5-point home underdogs.
Penrith have won 13 straight finals and need to keep winning to keep their dream of a fifth straight premiership alive but the Bulldogs should not be getting such a big start at home.
When these teams both met at full strength, the Panthers snuck home 8-6 in a match of the year candidate.
The Bulldogs are 12-6 ATS off a loss, 10-3 ATS getting a start of four or more and 5-1 ATS getting a start of at least eight.
More importantly, the Bulldogs look much better balanced this week even without Stephen Crichton. Canterbury were a different team when Toby Sexton came on last week and he will now steer the ship for 80 minutes.
Penrith have done remarkably well but certainly look more vulnerable than in prior seasons.
The Bulldogs can win this so taking the 8.5 points seems smart.
Same Game Multi
Casey McLean is the in-form tryscorer in the premiership with 10 tries in his last eight appearances.
Matt Burton will shift to left centre this week and he has a great record in the position with 13 tries in 20 appearances.
Value Bet
It took a while for Isaiah Papalii to fit into the Penrith system but boy has he found his role now as a fast leg speed middle who gets through plenty of effective work. It has resulted in a tryscoring frenzy too with four tries in his last five games.
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