The truncated Round 12 kicks off with a decimated Canterbury team hosting a Dolphins outfit that looks a tremendous bet to open up the weekend.
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Canterbury have been completely and utterly decimated by Origin, injury and suspension and look incredibly vulnerable this week even as a heavy favourite.
Stephen Crichton, Max King and Kurt Mann have all been called up to Origin with Jacob Kiraz and Jaeman Salmon out hurt and Jacob Preston and Sitili Tupouniua suspended. The spine remains in tact but this is a team there for the taking.
The Dolphins have lost Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow to Queensland duty and Tom Gilbert to another long-term injury but their side is in much better shape.
Interstate underdogs cover at a clip of 64% during the Origin period so the Phins have to be the starting point here. And the big start favours them too with the Dolphins 16-7 ATS getting a start of eight or more while the Bulldogs have covered just two of eight laying eight or more points.
The Bulldogs are too short here. Get around the Dolphins.
Same Game Multi
Herbie Farnworth is one of the hottest tryscorers in the competition with tries in five straight games. He will be running against makeshift centre Blake Taafe.
Connelly Lemuelu is a great line runner and has scored in four of his last seven games.
Value Bet
Kodi Nikorima has been in good tryscoring nick this year with three tries in 10 appearances this year. He will play a bigger role in support with the Hammer playing in Origin. Nikorima seems huge overs.
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