Canterbury will be hellbent on revenge after Brisbane handed the Bulldogs their first loss of the season just 10 rounds ago.
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It is unfortunate that such a compelling matchup that will have major ramifications on the finals has been impacted so badly by Origin outs. Both teams are missing four players apiece including – ridiculously – Origin 18th men Jacob Kiraz and Reece Walsh.
The Broncos have certainly been hit harder than the Bulldogs and look up against it trying to win interstate against a Top 4 team. Brisbane have not covered any of their last five interstate while they have covered just three of 13 off a win.
The best bet in this game though is the over. Both teams are in good over spots.
The over has hit in the last four between the Broncos and Bulldogs.
It is 20-8 when Brisbane are an underdog and 20-12 when the Broncos play a Top 4 team.
The over is also 13-5 when the Bulldogs play a Top 8 team at Accor.
Look for points in this one.
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Josiah Karapani has been in sensational form since being put on the left wing, scoring five tries in his last three games.
Matt Burton has been in very good tryscoring form with two tries in his last four.
Value Bet
Harry Hayes is a huge bodied youngster who has already established himself as one of the best young prospects at Belmore. Hayes has just two tries in 22 games but has really started and was a good tryscorer in the lower grades with 10 in 26.
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