The Broncos continue to be the most overrated team in the NRL and look primed for picking off when the Warriors hit Brisbane on Saturday afternoon.
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The Broncos pulled off not only a miracle win but a cover against the Sharks last week, a rare bright spot for Broncos bettors who have been left eating two-minute noodles due to their team’s inability to meet market expectations.
Brisbane’s numbers have been completely diabolical. They are 5-12 against the spread in their last 17 overall. At Suncorp, they have covered just five of 19. They are 2-10 ATS off a win. They are 4-9 ATS in day games. They have covered just five of 22 when favoured by at least a try.
There are red flags everywhere for the Broncos this week and that is before we look at the coaching mismatch and the vulnerabilities Brisbane have on their edges.
Interstate underdogs cover at 64% during the Origin period and the Warriors have covered eight of their last 10 in Australia.
The Warriors are also a very good rebound team, going 17-12 ATS off a double digit loss.
The Wahs are a chips-in job.
Same Game Multi
Ed Kosi has five tries in eight top grade appearances across the last two seasons and has five tries in his last six NSW Cup games.
Gehamat Shibasaki has been one of the Broncos’ best this year and it has netted 10 tries in 14 showings.
Value Bet
Jacob Laban is the latest boom backrower to roll off the Warriors production line. He has been outstanding since joining the top grade and it is starting to result in tries with two in his last four matches
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