NRL Tips – Broncos v Panthers – Round 1 2026

Brisbane Broncos vs Penrith Panthers - NRL Tips

The highlight of Round 1 is unquestionably the Friday night affair between defending premiers Brisbane and the team that one the four titles prior, the Penrith Panthers.

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Best Bet

Penrith +2.5
Line

Outsiders need to be a natural starting point in Round 1 and that could not look more appetising than in this salivating clash between Brisbane and Penrith.

The Broncos enter the season looking incredibly overrated with the rumbling out of Red Hill already concerning. Penrith, meanwhile, are enjoying a far more settled pre-season relative to last year.

Betting in this one is quite astonishing with Penrith listed as an outsider.

The Panthers are a sublime 12-3 ATS as an underdog while they are 17-12 ATS interstate.

Penith have also dominated Brisbane with nine win in the last 11, covering four of the last five.

It is also worth noting that five of the last nine defending premiers have lost in Round 1.

Favourites cover at just 41% in Round 1. Penrith are a lethal play.


Same Game Multi

Under 41.5/Paul Alamoti Try/Blaize Talagi Try
Same Game Multi

The under hits at 78% in the opening four rounds the last five seasons when a team plays interstate.

Paul Alamoti has been an elite tryscorer since shifting to Penrith with 25 tries in 35 games.

Blaize Talagi has exceptional footwork and with his confidence up he looks a great bet to run more this year.


Value Bet

Isaiah Papalii
To Score A Try

Isaiah Papalii has turned into a fabulous tryscorer for a player that often starts from the bench and that makes him a wonderful bet here. He finished last season in absolute peak form. He scored seven tries in 23 games – and now has 31 tries in 115 game across the last five seasons. He has scored in four of his last nine games.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.