NRL Tips – Broncos v Dragons – Round 11 2025

Broncos vs Dragons - NRL Tips

Brisbane have done little but disappoint all season and they look to be in line for another disappointing performance at home against the Dragons on Sunday.

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Best Bet

St George Illawarra +11.5
Line

Taking on the Broncos in recent seasons has been a profitable expedition and it will continue to be with Brisbane once again favoured by a huge number when they absolutely should not be.

The Broncos are laying double digits at home despite being 2-14 ATS at Suncorp and 1-8 ATS when favoured by double digits. They have covered just one of 10 when favoured by more than a converted try at Suncorp.

The numbers get worse. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS off a loss and Michael Maguire is 52-92 in his last seven seasons as a head coach.

The Dragons have a great record against the Broncos with seven wins in the last nine clashes. They have covered eight of the last 11 meetings.

Shane Flanagan’s team is 12-8 ATS as a double digit underdog while they are 32-18 ATS off a loss.

This number is just way too big.


Same Game Multi

Tyrell Sloan Try/Ezra Mam Try
Same Game Multi

Tyrell Sloan has loved his move to the wing and it has netted him seven tries in eight appearances.

Ezra Mam returns after his lengthy suspension and will be looking to continue his excellent tryscoring run against the Dragons, who he has scored against in all three appearances.


Value Bet

Kyle Flanagan
To Score A Try

Few players are bigger overs weekly to score a try than Kyle Flanagan. He is unfashionable. He is not particularly threatening. He does score though. He has four tries in nine games this year because he backs up, he chases kicks and he rarely misses an assignment.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.