NRL Tips - Broncos v Dolphins

The Brisbane Derby has seen both sides hit hard by injury but is going to have a major bearing on how the Top 8 shakes out this season.

Best Bet

Dolphins +3.5

Line

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$1.90

It was stunning to see the Broncos open favourites in this derby clash with the Dolphins and it is more stunning that the price has held.

Brisbane begin life without their star halves pairing of Adam Reynolds and Ezra Mam with neither expected back during the regular season. Selwyn Cobbo is also out. While Ben Hunt is a suitable replacement in the halves, Billy Walters is a crazy call to play five-eighth and has now taken away Brisbane’s two best hookers.

The Dolphins have lost Herbie Farnworth and almost an entire forward pack but their starting spine remains intact.

The key to this one is the embarrassment the Dolphins endured last week. Teams off conceding 60 or more points are an outstanding 21-4 against the spread since 2008. There is no better rebound spot in the NRL.

With the Broncos 6-12 ATS off a loss, 6-16 ATS at Suncorp and 1-4 ATS against the Dolphins, this is a chips in job for Kristian Woolf’s team.

Same Game Multi

Josiah Karapani Try/Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow Try/Tevita Naufahu Try

Same Game Multi

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$6.25

Josiah Karapani has six tries in six matches this season.

Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow is the leading tryscorer in the NRL with 17 tries in 17 games.

Tevita Naufahu stamped himself as a first grader last week when scoring a double against the Roosters.

Value Bet

Mark Nicholls

To Score A Try

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$8.50

Mark Nicholls is the second oldest player in the NRL but he is a sneaky good tryscorer for a prop and is worth a play against the Broncos at huge odds. He has scored seven tries across the last three seasons. He will get some big minutes.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.