Brisbane are in desperate need of a win to keep alive their slim finals hopes but will not get it easy against a gritty and tough Canterbury team.
Best Bet
Bettors are showing a lot of faith in Brisbane by having them go out as a 9.5-point favourite at home to the second best defensive team in the premiership.
The Broncos have won and covered five straight against the Bulldogs but this is a very different Canterbury side.
Canterbury rank second in the NRL in defence and while they have struggled to win on the road this year, they have covered five of seven interstate. The Bulldogs continue to be undervalued by the market, covering 11 of their last 15.
Canterbury have covered four of their last five when getting 6.5 points.
The Broncos have covered just one of seven at Suncorp.
Happy to bet with the more reliable proposition.
Insights
🚫 Canterbury Away Unders: Canterbury’s away games have been low-scoring, with 8 out of their last 9 games going under the total. 📉
🔻 Canterbury Recent Performance: Canterbury’s recent games have been low-scoring, with 7 out of their last 9 games going under the total. 📊
🏠 Brisbane Struggles at Home: Brisbane has struggled to win at home, managing only 2 wins in their last 7 home games and failing to cover in their last 4 home games. 🏡
Same Game Multi
Deine Mariner should be able to take advantage of the diabolical right-edge Bulldogs defence. He has 16 tries in 16 games this season.
Matt Burton has eight tries this season and he steps up in these big games.
Value Bet
Brisbane are as weak defensively through the middle as any team, conceding the highest percentage of tries down the guts than any team in the premiership. Josh Curran has three tries in his last 10 games and looks huge odds to score.
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