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Thanksgiving Day in the USA means three NFL games to be played on Friday, Australian time. Detroit host the Bills, the Cowboys host the Giants, and the Patriots travel to the Vikings.
Bills @ Lions
Buffalo have a big number to cover here but they are well capable of doing it.
The Bills are likely to put up plenty of points against a Lions defence that could be the worst in the league.
Detroit has not given up less than 330 yards all season and with Josh Allen and the Bills offence coming in to town, there should be big numbers posted.
Even in last week’s win over the Giants, they still allowed Daniel Jones to throw for over 340 yards. The Lions are the worst team in the league on third down as well.
Buffalo have conceded more than 23 points just once this season, and it was a freakish set of circumstances that enabled that to happen.
2016 was the last year the Lions won on Thanksgiving, and their turkey day pain is set to continue.
Detroit gave up 186 yards to Wan’Dale Robinson and Darius Slayton last week, so the Bills – substantially better – WR pairing should be expected to feast against Detroit’s awful secondary.
Giants @ Cowboys
The Giants fairytale run has come to a half and they look at the prey of a Cowboys side that could be the hottest in the league.
Not only did New York get beaten by Detroit last week, they suffered a number of injuries which is less than ideal on a short turnaround.
The offensive line, in particular, looks banged up, and this could mean problems against the Cowboys dominant pass rush, which sacked Kirk Cousins seven times last week.
Since Dak Prescott returned as starter the ‘Boys have won by 18, 20 and 37 points (as well as a three point loss to the Packers).
With the wheels falling off the Giants season, another blowout is on the cards.
Prescott has cleared this line in his last three games and is coming off his best game of the season against Minnesota. Pollard has 80 or more rushing yards in his last four games and is getting an equal share of carries with Ezekiel Elliott.
Patriots @ Vikings
While there is no doubt that Minnesota is flattered by their 8-2 record, they have to be the play against a Patriots team which is far from elite themselves.
While the Patriots defence has been impressive at their last two outings, that has come against teams with Sam Ehlinger and Zach Wilson at quarterback.
Minnesota has to do a better job of keeping Kirk Cousins upright than they did against Dallas, but they showed with their comeback win against Buffalo that they can move the ball against the best teams in the league.
Laying less than a field goal at home, the Vikings have to be the play.
Hockenson has become an important part of the Vikings passing game since being acquired in a mid season trade. With at least nine targets in all three games for his new team, he is sure to find the end zone soon.