NFL Tips – Texans @ Chiefs – Week 14 2025

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Best Bet

Texans +3.5

Total Points

$1.85

The Texans offence has been playing better of late and combined with an outstanding defence, they can upset the Chiefs and effectively ensure they miss the playoffs for the first time in the Patrick Mahomes era.

The key to the Texans offensive improvement has been the offensive line. While it is far from a good unit, it has gone from being an absolute disaster to just mediocre – a huge upgrade.

The Texans defence is just about the best unit in the league, ranking first for yards and points allowed.

Patrick Mahomes has been sacked at least three times in his last five games and with Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter in superb form and the Chiefs offensive line hit by injuries, that number is likely to be cleared comfortably.

The Texans are a very confident bet.

Same Game Multi

Mahomes Under 235.5 Passing Yards, Kelce 4+ Receptions, Collins Over 70.5 Receiving Yards

Same Game Multi

$5.00

Mahomes is going to need to get rid of the ball quickly so that should suit tight end Travis Kelce. But he is struggling to generate yards after catch these days.

Texans receiver Nico Collins has covered this line in four of his last five games.

Value Bet

Texans

Win

$2.60

Houston shapes as much the better team here in current form and they can cause the upset.

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