NFL Tips – Tennessee Titans @ Green Bay Packers – Week 11 2022

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Tennessee have massively overachieved in 2022 and they look a strong play with the points against a flailing Packers outfit.

Best Bet

Titans +3

Green Bay returned to the winners list on Sunday against the Cowboys but it was a victory largely driven by the running game.

Aaron Rodgers only attempted 20 passes, while Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon combined for more than 200 yards on the ground.

That gameplan is unlikely to succeed against a Titans team that has been an absolute monster against the run, the 2nd ranked team for rushing yards against, and the 3rd ranked for yards per carry against.

In games where Rodgers has been forced to pass the ball this season the Packers have struggled. Their much vaunted offensive line has struggled to keep the veteran upright, while the loss of Davante Adams has exposed an inexperienced receiving corps.

Tennessee have got enough out of star running back Derrick Henry to be competitive in most games this season, and the powerful runner should feast against a Packers side allowing 4.8 yards per carry, 28th in the league. Since Week 4, Green Bay have given up the most rushing yards of any team.

The betting trends also point strongly to the Titans here. They are an outstanding 7-2 against the number this season, best in the league, compared to the 4-6 Packers.

Same Game Multi

Titans +3.5, Aaron Jones Under 55.5 Rushing Yards, AJ Dillon Under 35.5 Rushing Yards

Given the Titans stoutness against the run, taking both Packers running backs to go under their rushing lines looks a sound strategy.

Value Bet

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
Anytime TD

Westbrook-Ikhine has been an inconsistent part of the Titans offence but was on the end of two touchdown passes last week against the Broncos, one of 63 yards and one of nine. He looks a nice price to score again this week.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.