NFL Tips - Steelers @ Jets

Aaron Rodgers’ first game as a Pittsburgh Steeler comes against his most recent team, a marriage that did not end all that pleasantly.

Best Bet

Under 38.5

Total Points

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$1.88

Calling Aaron Rodgers’ spell at the New York Jets a disappointment would be the height of understatement. It would also be underselling it to say that Steelers have been hurt by poor quarterback play since the retirement of Ben Roethlisberger – and probably even his last few years to be fair.

The Steelers are hoping Rodgers can end that bad run while the Jets are confident he won’t and are more than happy to be rid of him.

While what Rodgers does will be fascinating, there is little doubt that this will be a defence-oriented affair, putting the under well in play.

The under hits at 67% when there has been a home underdog in Weeks 1-3 since 2021.

The under is an obscene 32-9 when Mike Tomlin is a road favourites and 42-27-1 in September when a veteran QB joins a new team.

This is one of the better totals in Week 1.

Same Game Multi

Aaron Rodgers Under 0.5 Rush Yards/Pat Freiermuth Under 27.5 Receiving Yards/Garrett Wilson Under 56.5 Receiving Yards

Same Game Multi

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$4.90

Aaron Rodgers has shown no inclination to run since his 2023 ACL with 11 of 17 games with a single yard rushing or less.

Pat Freiermuth has competition for catches with TE Jonnu Smith, a more effective receiving option, now at the Steelers.

Taking unders on Justin Fields’ receivers until he shows any inclination to find receivers is the play.

Value Bet

Braelon Allen

Anytime Touchdown

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$4.25

There is no doubt that with the Jets’ concerns at QB that they will run, run and run some more. While Breece Hall remains the lead back, the talented Braelon Allen is expected to play more of a role this season. He is expected to take third down and short yardage roles.

Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.