Tampa Bay have a very tenuous grip on the NFC South and a win over their division rival would go a long way towards claiming the division.
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Best Bet
The total is low here but it doesn’t look low enough given the offensive struggles of the two teams.
The Saints offence is the third worst in the NFL, averaging a pitiful 15.2 points per game. That includes scoring a measly 3 when these teams met in Week 8.
While the Bucs have been better, they have only scored more than 30 once since Week 6. Both teams struggle especially in the redzone, the Saints ranking 32nd in the league while the Bucs rank 25th.
While the Saints have a poor overall record their pass defence has been a highlight, only giving up 187 passing yards per game.
Expect the Bucs to stick to the run, work the clock, and the total to cruise under.
Same Game Multi
Expecting the Bucs to run a pass heavy, run light gameplan here given the strength of the Bucs pass defence. Irving returned from injury last week with 17 carries and with that under his belt his workload should only go up.
Value Bet
Irving had a score in his first game back last week and the Saints strong pass defence points to a running back doing the scoring.
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