Buffalo go in as the biggest favourites of the week but even with the talent disparity against the Saints the line does look too big.
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Best Bet
The Bills and the Saints are operating in two very different areas this year. Buffalo are one of the best teams in the AFC and look destined to again be in the mix for a Super Bowl berth. New Orleans could be the worst team in the NFL as QB Spencer Rattler looks to avoid becoming just the sixth QB to lose his first 10 starts in the NFL.
Rattler is unlikely to do that but this is a good spot for the Saints to cover the big start after last week’s humiliation.
Underdogs off a loss of 30-plus cover at 61% while winless road underdogs cover at 59%.
This is also a letdown spot for Josh Allen, who have had bigger fish to fry and will have bigger fish to fry. Josh Allen is 6-10-2 ATS as a double digit favourite after his first season.
Happy to be with the plus here though confidence is limited.
Same Game Multi
Dalton Kincaid has touchdowns in two of his three outings this year and has been the one consistent in the offense with at least four catches and 37 yards in all three appearances.
Juwan Johnson ha at least five catches an 49 yards in all three games.
Value Bet
The Saints are unlikely to score much against the Bills but there is value on New Orleans players, particularly their high volume receivers. New Orleans QB Spencer Rattler has thrown to Juwan Johnson 28 times this season – only Chris Olave has more targets. He has pulled in 19 of those for one touchdown.
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