Lamar Jackson returns at quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens, who travel to Miami to play the lowly Dolphins.
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Best Bet
The betting market certainly thinks that Lamar returning to the lineup will fix the Ravens but I don’t think it’s that simple.
Remember, the Ravens are 1-3 this season even with Jackson at quarterback, and that is largely due to their woeful defence.
The Ravens are allowing 30 points per game to opposing teams this season, including 41 and 37 in their two road games.
Now admittedly, the Dolphins are neither the Chiefs nor the Bills. But their offence is coming off their best performance of the year against the Falcons, putting up 34 points and 338 yards of offence.
Tua was particularly efficient, competing 20 of 26 passes for 205 yards and four touchdowns. They dominated time of possession, having 37 minutes to 23, and that will be key to victory again.
There is a strong trend that when the Miami offence gets momentum, they keep it going. The Dolphins are 24-16-1 against the line after scoring 21+ pts, 21-13-1 against the line after 24+ pts and 8-4 against the number after 33+ pts.
With a huge start, happy to back the Dolphins in a great spot.
Same Game Multi
Tight ends have done well against the Dolphins this season, with an average of six receptions per game. That bodes well for Mark Andrews.
If the Dolphins are to keep this game competitive, it’s near certain that Devon Achane will have had a big impact on the ground.
Value Bet
The Dolphins do most of the scoring through the air, with 15 receiving scores compared to just 4 rushing. Darren Waller, responsible for four of them, is injured. That leaves Jaylen Waddle who has four scores in seven games this season, as clearly the most likely for the Fins.
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