NFL Tips – Ravens @ Chiefs – Week 4 2025

Patrick Mahomes is set to start as underdog when Lamar Jackson and the Ravens come to Kansas City.

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Best Bet

Kansas City +2.5
Line

Patrick Mahomes phenomenal record as an underdog means the Chiefs have to be the bet this week.

Mahomes has only started as the outsider on 16 occasions across his career, but the Chiefs are 11-5 straight up and 12-3-1 against the number when he has been the underdog.

Mahomes also has a terrific record against the Jackson version of the Ravens. These quarterbacks have met six times, with Mahomes boasting a 5-1 head to head record.

Aside from the factors, the Ravens are 1-2 on the season because their defence is playing badly. They allowed 41 to the Bills and 38 to the Lions, and have allowed more than 100 yards rushing in every game.

The Chiefs run game has been poor so far this season but if it can get going here, the Chiefs should be able to cause the upset.


Same Game Multi

Chiefs -2.5, Thornton 50+ Receiving Yards
Same Game Multi

The Chiefs receiving corps is decimated but Tyquan Thornton has emerged as WR1 for the Chiefs, with 59 and 71 yards in his last two games.


Value Bet

Patrick Mahomes
Anytime TD

Mahomes legs have been a real weapon for the Chiefs and he has already run in two touchdowns through three games so far this season.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.