NFL Tips – Patriots @ Titans – Week 7 2025

Tennessee moved on from Brian Callahan earlier in the week and it gives the Titans some chance against New England and their former head coach Mike Vrabel.

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Best Bet

Titans +6.5
Line

There has been nothing to like about the Titans this year but a line in the sand was drawn last week after a heinous 20-10 loss to Las Vegas that should have been much, much more.

A few things suggest improvement this week though and the two primary ones revolve around former head coaches.

Brian Callahan was duly punted Monday and there is no doubt Mike McCoy, the former Chargers coach, is an upgrade. There is typically improvement when a team sacks a coach with the cover rate jumping by about 15%.

Tennessee should also lift for their former coach Mike Vrabel, who is now in charge of the Patriots.

This is a bad spot for New England, who are on their third game of a road trip. Teams on the third game of a road trip are 16-24-2 against the spread.

Tepidly dipping in on the home underdog here.


Same Game Multi

Drake Maye TD/Drake Maye Over 24.5 Rush Yards/Tony Pollard Over 43.5 Rush Yards
Same Game Multi

Drake Maye has run for two touchdowns this season and his scrambling has been very good. He has topped 28 run yards in three of his last five.

Tony Pollard has run for at least 45 yards in five of his six games this season.


Value Bet

Gunnar Helm
To Score A Touchdown

The Titans moving on from Brian Callahan will see Cam Ward as the primary beneficiary. What the Tennessee offense looks like now is anyone’s guess but McCoy runs a fairly conservative offense that will feature lots of tight ends and balls to backs. Look to Gunnar Helm at big odds to score. He has 16 targets this year including a RedZone target each of the last two.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.