NFL Tips – Packers @ Giants – Week 11 2025

The Giants have fired head coach Brian Daboll and will be looking to kick off the Mike Kafka era with a win against the Packers.

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Best Bet

Packers -7.5
Line

The idea that firing a head coach produces a big improvement the next week is a myth – teams off firing their coach are 11-12 against the number.

That means the Packers are a great bet this week, with the Giants absolutely destroyed by injuries here, on both the offence and defence. They will be starting Jameis Winston at quarterback with Jaxson Durt concussed.

Green Bay are coming off a 10-7 loss to the Eagles but find a much more favourable matchup here, especially with the Giants awful run defence.

The Packers defence has not been the issue – they have allowed only 39 points in the three games they have lost this year.

Chips in the Packers.


Same Game Multi

Packers -7.5, Jacobs 100+ Rushing Yards & TD
Same Game Multi

The Giants are allowing 5.5 yards per rush this season so expect Josh Jacobs to run for plenty. New York have allowed an opposing running back to go for 100+ yards in two of their last three.

Jacobs has also been a touchdown scoring machine, with seven in his last five games.


Value Bet

Luke Musgrave
Anytime TD

Tucker Kraft had a heap of redzone targets for the Packers but is now on IR. Musgrave is TE1 so should get his chance to score in a game that Green Bay should be finding the end zone frequently.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.