The late afternoon suite is loaded with good games and this is one that will shape the playoffs in both the AFC and the NFC.
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Best Bet
Green Bay has been playing terrific football on both sides of the ball of late and there are a number of trends that point to them winning this game.
Since 2005, there have been just eight instances where a team with a 10-game-plus winning streak were outsiders – as the Broncos are here. These teams have a poor 2-5-1 ATS record.
Teams that enter a match-up with a winning percentage of 70% or higher also struggle when listed as an underdog. Their combined record against the line in these situations is 54-80-4. It’s even worse playing at home, registering a 10-18-1 record against the line.
The market is essentially telling us that the Broncos are frauds. Is that harsh? Probably. But of their eleven wins this season, only two have been against teams with winning records, and one of them had Davis Mills at QB for the majority of the game. Either way, keen to be with the Packers in this one.
Same Game Multi
Tight ends have over 100 yards receiving in two of the last three against the Broncos. Luke Musgrave is no star but he has cleared his line in two of his last three. Also think that QB Jordan Love should be able to hit his line here too.
Value Bet
Tight ends have scores in two of the last three against the Broncos and with Denver’s strong run defence, the Pack might be more inclined to pass in the red zone.
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