NFL Tips – Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals – Week 3 2022

Tua Tagovailoa - NFL Tips

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The unbeaten Dolphins travel to Cincinnati to play last year’s AFC Champions, albeit with a fitness cloud over starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

Best Bet

Miami Dolphins +4

Miami have started the season 3-0 and look a good bet with the points against a disappointing Bengals side.

Cincinnati recorded a win over the hapless Jets last week but a deeper look at their offence shows some real concerns. They are currently the 31st ranked offence per Football Outsiders DVOA.

Every team knows what the Bengals one wood is – go deep to Ja’marr Chase. So far this season opposing teams have taken this weapon away by playing soft coverage, with Chase’s yards per reception falling from 18 last year to 10.1 this year.

That should open up opportunities for the Bengals running game right? Wrong. Due to the pitiful play of their offensive line, Cincinnati are only averaging 3.3 yards per carry, 30th in the league.

So far Cincinnati have been better on the defensive side of the ball, but given the quarterbacks they have faced are Mitch Trubisky, Cooper Rush and Joe Flacco, it would be foolish to draw any conclusions.

The Dolphins have some issues of their own. How their defence bounces back after playing almost 90 snaps just last Sunday in oppressive heat is a question mark. Tua is officially questionable on the Dolphins injury at time of writing.

Nonetheless, getting more than a field goal start, the Fins looks the play.

If Tua doesn’t start, Teddy Bridgewater is a capable backup and with what should be a bigger line, they will still be a good bet.

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Same Game Multi

Dolphins Win/Tyreek Hill TD

Tyreek Hill was a bit quieter last week against Buffalo with just two receptions but look for Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel to scheme up ways to get arguably the most dangerous offensive weapon in football more touches this week.

Value Bet

River Cracraft
Anytime Touchdown Scorer

River Cracraft has scored touchdowns in the last two weeks against the Bills and Ravens. At 6’0 and almost 200 pounds, he has become a favoured red zone target for Tua.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.