NFL Tips – Las Vegas Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers – Week 16 2022

Pickens - NFL Tips

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Christmas Day action comes to an end with the Raiders and Steelers doing battle in Pittsburgh to celebrate the 50-year anniversary of the Immaculate Reception.

Best Bet

Under 39
Line

The anniversary of the most celebrated – and debated – play in NFL history takes place on Sunday afternoon Australian time with Pittsburgh hosting Las Vegas under the spectre of the Immaculate Reception. That game saw the Steelers win 13-7 in the famed Franco Harris catch and another low-scoring game is forecast here.

The under is typically a great bet in low totalled games with the under 88-60-2 when the total is less than 40.

The under is 9-3 when the Raiders are off a win and 4-1 when they are on the road. The under is also 35-15-1 when Pittsburgh take on a losing team and 8-2 when the Steelers are at home.

With so much going on and the Steelers looking down their QB depth chart, the under is a high confidence bet.


Same Game Multi

Josh Jacobs TD/Najee Harris TD

Josh Jacobs has 11 touchdowns this season and four in the last four games.

Najee Harris has five touchdowns in his last five appearances, overcoming major inefficiency with supreme volume.


Value Bet

Las Vegas 1-13
Margin

The Raiders have just played close games this season. In 14 matches, 12 have been decided by single digits. With the Steelers having an ordinary record when favoured and the Raiders getting plenty of talent back over the last fortnight, a close Las Vegas win seems a confident bet.