NFL Tips – Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons – Week 3 2024

Patrick Mahomes - NFL Tips

The Kansas City Chiefs remain the team to beat this year after two wins to kick off the season but off an impressive victory on Monday Night, the Falcons will be hoping to claim another big scalp.

Best Bet

Kansas City -2.5
Line

The Chiefs have not set the world alight through two weeks but they have pulled off a win over the Ravens and a last-minute victory against the Bengals.

They just keep on trucking though. Star tailback Isiah Pacheco is out for six to eight weeks but that looks to work in bettors favour with the talented Kareem Hunt back in the building and the line much lower than it should be.

While the Chiefs have to be respected, this is very much a play against the Falcons, who are not in a good spot.

Underdogs on short rest cover at just 39% and Atlanta are 17-31 ATS at home.

Kirk Cousins is 17-25 ATS in Primetime.

Playing against re-tread coaches though is the top reason to be with the Chiefs here up to 6 points. Re-tread coaches at home cover at 41.1% in their first year with a new team. Those coaches in Weeks 1-10 cover at only 39%. Re-tread coaches off a loss cover at just 42.6%.

Be with the Chiefs here.


Same Game Multi

Rashee Rice TD/Ray-Ray McCloud Over 2.5 Reception/Justin Watson Over 1.5 Receptions

Rashee Rice has twice as many targets as any other Chief this year and pulled down a touchdown last week.

Ray-Ray McCloud has emerged as WR2/3 for the Falcons with target counts of seven and five.

Justin Watson has three targets this year and has at least two catches in six of his last nine.


Value Bet

Noah Gray
Anytime Touchdown

Noah Gray is one of the better backup tight ends in the NFL and he sees plenty of time with snap counts of 54% and 57%. He has three targets this season including a redzone target. He is a big price to score in a game that should have plenty of touchdowns.