NFL Tips – Giants @ Patriots – Week 13 2025

Jaxson Dart returns for New York as they travel to play New England on Monday Night Football.

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Best Bet

Giants +7.5
Line

Week 13 has been full of upsets and the Giants look nice value to cause another one.

Drake Maye is having an excellent season at quarterback for New England but his numbers under pressure are much less impressive.

That could come into play here as the Patriots are now without left tackle Will Campbell and guard Jared Wilson.

Jaxson Dart returns for the Giants who have been more competitive of late than their 2-10 record on the season would suggest, having lost their last three – against a strong schedule, the Bears, Packers and Giants – by one score or less.

That includes an overtime loss to Detroit last week.

The Giants are 4-1 against the spread when favoured by more than seven points this season and look a good bet to bolster that record.


Same Game Multi

Giants +7.5, Johnson Over 30.5 Receiving Yards, Henderson Over 70.5 Rushing Yards
Same Game Multi

Theo Johnson has been producing recently, going over this line in three straight games, and the Patriots rank poorly against opposing tight ends (allowing ~63.3 yards per game).

For the Patriots, Treveyon Henderson is the clear lead back, and the Giants rank last in EPA per play and success rate against the run.


Value Bet

Treveyon Henderson
First Touchdown

As much as I do fancy the Giants to keep this competitive, the reality is that they have surrendered 16 TDs to opposing running backs this season and Henderson has five scores in his last three games.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.