New England have done little but win and cover over the last month but they look vulnerable against an Atlanta team more than capable of claiming a big scalp.
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Best Bet
Finding fraud teams is always a good angle in punting and there is plenty to indicate that the New England Patriots have a touch of the Bernie Madoffs about him.
Teams off winning and covering four straight who didn’t make the playoffs last year are 2-15-1 ATS since 2022.
Teams off back-to-back wins who have won over 60% of their games off a win of nine or more cover at 46%.
This is a major lay situation for the Pats.
This is a handy betting spot for the Falcons too with teams off losing as a favourite of seven or more covering at 58%.
Very keen on Atlanta here.
Same Game Multi
Drake Maye is a quality scrambling quarterback with five games of 28-plus run yards in his last seven.
Kayshon Boutte has topped 43 yards in four straight and has not played fewer than 62% of snaps all season.
Kyle Pitts has been unlocked this year. He has gone for 62 on seven catches and 59 on nine catches the last two weeks.
Value Bet
Bijan Robinson is unquestionably the lead back at Atlanta but the Falcons are so invested in the ground game that there remains plenty of opportunity for RB2 Tyson Allgeier to score. He has touchdowns in four of his last six and has double digit touch counts in four of seven matches this year.
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