Atlanta have been nothing short of horrific over the back half of the season but they look a great bet when they take on the out-of-form Bucs.
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Best Bet
Both the Falcons and Bucs are riding struggle street. Tampa Bay have dropped four of their last five without a single cover. Atlanta have won just one of their last eight with the Kirk Cousins redemption story not coming to fruition.
The Bucs are in a huge play-against spot. The Mayfield numbers are poor with a 7-20 cover record a a home favourite. He has covered just four of his last 14 after Thanksgiving. Thursday Night Football home teams off a loss cover at just 41%.
The Falcons are in a strong spot too. Raheem Morris is 10-5 against the spread off a loss of 20-plus while underdogs of three or more off a 20-plus loss cover at 59%.
All in Atlanta here.
Same Game Multi
Bijan Robinson has topped 100 Rush Yards four times this year including twice in the last four weeks.
Baker Mayfield has run for at least 19 yards in his last four games.
Bucky Irving has caught for 20-plus yards in five straight games.
Value Bet
Kyle Pitts has become the clear favourite target of Kirk Cousins with seven catches for 82 yards and six catches for 90 yards the last two weeks. He has just a single touchdown this year but is due some positive regression on the scoring front.
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