The Miami Dolphins travel to Pittsburgh on what will be a cold Monday night with their playoff hopes hanging by a thread.
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Best Bet
Pittsburgh have won 22 straight home Monday Night Football games and look a great chance of making it 23.
While the Dolphins have certainly improved in the back half of the season, winning five of their last six, they have been flattered by a very soft schedule in that time.
There is also a real concern over Tua Tagovailoa’s performance in cold weather. In outdoor games with temperature under under 50 degrees, Tua is 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in his career.
It’s questionable just how much Tua can be relied upon anyway, given he has failed to pass for more than 200 yards in the last four games.
Pittsburgh’s offence is more multi faceted and with their defence likely to lock in and stop the run, they look a good bet in this one.
Same Game Multi
Expecting a low scoring game given the conditions and Miami’s struggling to put points up on the road against good defensive teams. Happy to fade Tua’s pass number too given his struggles in these conditions.
Value Bet
Rodgers showed he is still capable of running one in last week against the Ravens, and we are getting a big price for him to go again.
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