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The line looks too big in a divisional game that could go either way as the Chargers and Broncos do battle on Monday Night Football.
Best Bet
This was pencilled in as a blockbuster at the start of the season but the Denver Broncos (2-3) and Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) have been very disappointing so far this season.
The key to this game is how the Broncos defence can contain Justin Herbert. This season they have been outstanding against the pass, conceding no more than 200 yards in any of their five games.
Admittedly they have not played a strong schedule of offences, but their pass rush has been able to get home consistently, with 17 sacks in just five games. The Chargers are still missing top wideout Keenan Allen.
If the Broncos can contain the Chargers offensively, this will be a close game. The Russell Wilson led Broncos offence has impressed no one this season, but they are coming up against a porous run defence, ranked 32nd in the league for yards per attempt.
In what shapes as a typically tight division game, getting more than a field goal for the Broncos is appealing.
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Same Game Multi
Jerry Jeudy is an excellent receiver but does his best work in the intermediate areas of the field, where Wilson struggles to make completions. He is down to go-balls and checkdowns at this point.
Happy to back the Broncos defence to contain Herbert and company to a below average game.
Value Bet
Latavius Murray is a new arrival to the Broncos from the Saints but he has been playing well this season. He should see the bulk of the carries and against a poor run defence he looks a good price to get a score.
