NFL Tips – Cowboys @ Commanders – Week 17 2025

The NFL’s Christmas Day slate kicks off with a game between two teams eliminated from playoff contention, Dallas and Washington.

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Best Bet

Dallas -6.5
Line

The season is over for Dallas but they are in a very good spot here against a Commanders team that has lost nine of their last ten and is likely down to their quarterback following an injury to Marcus Mariota.

Dallas have covered in eight of their last nine against Washington, a dominance that has extended for most of the Dak Prescott era, with his record against Washington being 11-3 at the line.

Washington also come here off their second successive week of short rest. Underdogs playing back to back games off short rest are 2-23 straight up and a horrible 6-19 against the line.

The Commanders also have an appalling record in back to back division games – aside from those involving the Giants. After playing the Cowboys or Eagles, then playing the Cowboys or Eagles the week after, they have lost their last eight and only covered in of those games.

The numbers here point to a comfortable Cowboys win.


Same Game Multi

Dallas -7, Williams 80+ Rushing Yards & TD
Same Game Multi

Washington have been destoryed on the ground of late, allowing more than 146 yards rushing in five of their last six. Cowboys RB Williams is putting together a pro bowl season and has scored in three of his last four games.


Value Bet

Dallas -20.5
Pick Your Own Line

With the Commanders down to their third QB and Dallas’ long history of dominance in this matchup, it’s not hard to see this turning into a blowout.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.