NFL Tips - Commanders @ Falcons

Arguably no team has suffered a bigger humiliation this year than Atlanta after being on the wrong end of a 30-0 loss to Carolina but that puts them in good stead for Week 4.

Best Bet

Falcons +1.5

Line

Bet Now

$1.82

One of the best angles in betting is to bet on a team that was unquestionably humiliated at its most recent outing and that was certainly the case with Atlanta. The Falcons were pummelled 30-0 by the struggling Bryce Young and the very ordinary Panthers in a major shock that has already seen changes to the coaching staff made.

This is a prime bounce back spot against a team that should not be a road favourite with backup Marcus Mariota starting.

Underdogs off a loss of 30-plus cover at 61% while home underdogs who lose by 30 or more are 25-14-1 against the spread.

With home underdogs heading into a bye 35-22-3 ATS.

The Falcons are a very good play.

Same Game Multi

Bijan Robinson TD/Bijan Robinson Over 24.5 Rec Yards/Deebo Samuel TD

Same Game Multi

Bet Now

$5.70

Bijan Robinson has topped 25 receiving yards in all three games this year while he has nine touchdowns in his last eight games.

Deebo Samuel is being well used since moving to the Commanders, scoring in two of his three appearances.

Value Bet

Drake London

100+ Receiving Yards

Bet Now

$5.00

Drake London is clearly the centrepiece of the Atlanta passing game and with changes at the coaching level made this week expect a more professional showing in the passing game. London has not broken 55 yards this year but has played a minimum of 85% of snaps and been targeted at least eight times in two games including 15 in the opener. He topped 100 yards in his last two games last year, both with Michael Penix throwing.

Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.