NFL Tips – Commanders @ Chargers – Week 5 2025

The Chargers come off a shock lost to the New York Giants but can get back on track against another NFC East opponent.

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Best Bet

Chargers -2.5
Line

The Chargers look a great bet laying less than a field goal in this one.

LA did lost their first game of the season last week against the Giants, but it felt like an aberration with penalties and turnovers being the difference.

Prior to that the Chargers has been excellent, winning all three and covering in two of those with one push, mostly off the back of their excellent defence which ranks top four for both points and yards.

The loss of left tackle Joe Alt is a concern, but the Commanders are also dealing with injuries, none more important than the knee of quarterback Jayden Daniels.

Daniels will start, but having missed last week there are question marks over whether he will be as effective as normal in a knee brace. The Commanders will also be without top receiver Terry McLaurin.

The Chargers have been a great bet as favourite with Justin Herbert as quarterback under Jim Harbaugh, going 13-4 against the number, and they can get the job done again.


Same Game Multi

Chargers -2.5, Herbert Over 260.5 Passing Yards, Daniels Under 40.5 Rushing Yards
Same Game Multi

Justin Herbert has cleared this mark in both games at home this season and the Commanders have allowed it in their last three games.

Daniels hurt his knee scrambling in Week 3, given he is wearing the brace, happy to bet against his rushing number this week.


Value Bet

Justin Herbert
300+ Passing Yards

Justin Herbert has already cleared 300 twice this year and with the Commanders having given up big numbers to much lesser QBs, he is a solid bet to hit this mark again.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.