The Jags have been – particularly on defence – a surprise packet to start the season, but will have their hands full when Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs come to town on Monday Night Football.
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Best Bet
Jacksonville look an excellent bet getting the points at home.
While the Jags did lose to Cincinnati (which had Joe Burrow for most of the game) they have three good wins against Carolina, Houston and San Francisco.
Much of that has been based on the defence’s ability to force turnovers, as they are just the third team with three or more takeaways in each game, through four games in the last 20 years.
Is that sustainable? We’ll find out, but it’s not as if the Kansas City offence has been shooting the lights out as it has in years past.
They had their way with the Ravens last week, but that has been the case for all of Baltimore’s opponents this year except the hapless Browns.
A lack of talent at receiver – and Xavier Worthy is under an injury cloud again – and sclerotic run game have seen the Chiefs struggle to put up points, ranking an uncharacteristic 14th in the league.
Where the Jags can get after the Chiefs is with their run game. Travis Etienne is having a terrific season, leading the league with a terrific 6.1 yards per carry. The Chiefs rank 28th in the league for yards per rushing attempt defensively.
There is a lot of ‘Mahomes factor’ about this price, and the Jags have to be the bet.
Same Game Multi
As stated in the main preview, Travis Etienne has had a brilliant start to the season behind an offensive line playing at a very high level.
Things are the opposite for the Chiefs. They have struggled to run it, which should mean that Mahomes is throwing early and often.
Value Bet
Through four games, Etienne has already cleared this mark twice. The Chiefs allowed 118 rushing yards on just 11 carries to Baltimore’s running backs last week.
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