NFL Tips – Chiefs @ Cowboys – Week 13 2025

Kansas City are the best bet of the week as they look to rescue their season in Dallas on Thanksgiving.

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Best Bet

Chiefs -3.5
Line

The Chiefs are in a desperate spot with just five weeks of the regular season remaining with their 6-5 record having them three games off the division lead and a win outside of the wild card but in a three-way tie in that spot. They need to win and they need to keep on winning.

They find themselves in a bang-up spot this week though as small road favourites against Dallas.

Teams off three straight non-covers as favourites cover at early 60% while Patrick Mahomes is 19-3 when playing teams on short rest.

This is primarily a spot to be against Dallas though. Dak Prescott is 17-36 ATS against winning teams and 6-12 ATS as a single digit underdog. The Cowboys are an awful 3-14 ATS in their last 17 Thanksgiving games and rookie coaches off a win cover at less than 40%.

Max bet, chips-in Chiefs.


Same Game Multi

Kareem Hunt TD/George Pickens TD/George Pickens 6+ Receptions/Travis Kelce 4+ Receptions
Same Game Multi

Kareem Hunt has been a touchdown scoring machine with a score in each of his last four games.

George Pickens has eight touchdowns this season including in his last two, where he has stat lines of nine catches for 144 yards and nine catches for 146 yards.

Travis Kelce has at least four catches in all bar two games this season.


Value Bet

Patrick Mahomes
To Score A Touchdown

Patrick Mahomes runs when the Chiefs need him and the Chiefs certainly need him as they sit on the outside of the playoffs looking in. Mahomes has four touchdowns this season and resumed running last week with four runs for 30 yards. In a forecast shootout he looks a great bet to score.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.