NFL Tips – Chiefs @ Broncos – Week 11 2025

Denver have an opportunity to really lay a marker when they host division rivals Kansas City and they look to be in a great spot to pull off a critical win.

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Best Bet

Broncos +3.5
Line

Denver are in a tremendous spot as a home underdog this week and shape as one of the best bets of the week.

The Broncos lead the AFC West on the back of seven straight wins that include a victory over defending champions Philadelphia. The Chiefs have mixed form all year with a loss pre-bye to Buffalo ending a three-game win streak.

There are some strong pre-bye angles pushing the Broncos. Teams playing a divisional game before their bye cover at 69% while home teams pre-bye Week 8 or later covering at 66%. The Broncos have covered 10 of their last 13 pre-bye.

Teams off winning when scoring fewer than 12 points cover at 66%.

Get right around the Broncos.


Same Game Multi

Rashee Rice 7+ Receptions/Travis Kelce 4+ Receptions/Troy Franklin 4+ Receptions
Same Game Multi

Rashee Rice has 20 catches in his three games since returning.

Travis Kelce has four catches in all bar two games this season.

Troy Franklin as at least eight targets the last four weeks after emerging as the clear WR2. He ha at least four catches in each of his last three.


Value Bet

Pat Bryant
To Score A Touchdown

Denver rookie Pat Bryant is a highly exciting prospect who is being integrated further and further into the Broncos offense. He has played at least 49% of snaps in his last six games with at least two targets in each of his last five. He has a touchdown to his name and is great value to score this week.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.