NFL Tips – Chiefs @ Bills – Week 9 2025

Neither team currently leads their division, but Patrick Mahomes against Josh Allen is the best rivalry in the NFL right now.

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Best Bet

Chiefs -1.5
Line

The Bills are coming off a win but they still look a flawed team taking on a Chiefs side that is firing on all cylinders.

The addition of Rashee Rice has added a new level of dynamism to the Chiefs passing attack in recent weeks, and they now ranked 1st in yards per drive and 2nd in points per drive.

The Bills defence has been effective against the pass, but smart coaches (of which Andy Reid is one) are all too aware that the Bills D can be pushed around in the running game.

Add to that the fact that, you can have a pass defence that looks good against 30 other quarterbacks, and it can still be undone by Patrick Mahomes.

The other worry for the Bills is with their pass catching corps. They lack an explosive option at receiver, and have struggled to generate big plays in the passing game this season.

The Chiefs have allowed 17, 0 and 7 points in the last three weeks, and as good as Josh Allen is, he needs players around him to help make plays.


Same Game Multi

Chiefs -1.5, Rice 7+ Receptions, Hunt Over 45.5 Rushing Yards
Same Game Multi

The Chiefs are expected to play Clyde Edwards-Helaire but the injury to Isaiah Pacheco should still see Kareem Hunt take over as RB1 for the Chiefs and the Bills are vulnerable against the run.

In two games back from suspension, Rice has had 7 and 9 catches.


Value Bet

Patrick Mahomes
To Score a Touchdown

This bet is for Mahomes to run one in and he has already done it four times in eight games this season.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.