Many are forecasting the New Orleans Saints to be the worst team in football but getting 6.5 points at home in Week 1 is too good to pass up even for a bad team.
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Yearning for the Derek Carr days is not a good sign but that is where we are at with New Orleans, who are rolling out a QB room led by Spencer Rattler. Good luck, Kellen Moore.
The Cardinals are expected to be vastly improved this year but jumping so heavily favoured in Week 1 seems a little optimistic. While the analytics project some improvement, the offense has not significantly improved. On the defence though they have overhauled the unit with former Eagle Josh Sweat leading the D.
Underdogs of 6.5 or more in Week 1 though are automatic bets with these teams on a 49-27 cover run. Week 1-4 favourites of six or more off no playoffs are also 2-11 against the spread the last three seasons.
This number is too big.
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James Conner has been so reliable for the Cardinals. He posted nine touchdowns last year while he is underrated in the passing game with two or more catches in his last 12 games, topping 28 yards in five of his last seven.
Juwan Johnson topped 25.5 yards in 10 of his final 13 games last year.
Value Bet
Rashid Shaheed is an absolute burner and is the Saints deep threat. In his seven games last year, three of them featured a catch of at least 40 yards. The year prior it hit in six of 17 games. This price is utterly ridiculous.
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