NFL Tips – Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots – Week 13 2022

Josh Allen

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Buffalo set an NFL record with seven touchdowns on seven drives when these teams last met. Don’t expect a repeat.

Best Bet

Patriots +3.5

While this rivalry is not the one sided affair it was during the Tom Brady era, the Patriots look a good play with the points at home.

Buffalo have been battling injuries and with their lynchpin left tackle Dion Dawkins and star pass rusher Von Miller missing, things don’t get any easier.

Josh Allen has also been battling an elbow, and while he is still capable of making incredible plays (witness his completion to Stefon Diggs that set up a game winning FG versus the Lions) the Bills consistency on offence has been lacking compared to last year, when now Giants head coach Brian Daboll was calling plays.

Buffalo still struggle to run the football effectively and up against a Patriots defence that has quietly been one of the better units in the league against both the pass and run, Allen and company could be in for a long night.

Offensively, things haven’t been going as well in New England but with Miller out, Micah Hyde on IR, and as well as a host of names on the injury report, Leslie Frazier’s unit can’t be guaranteed to play at its usual high level.

Allen might well pull this one out, but with the points at home, the Pats look the play.

Same Game Multi

Patriots +3.5, Hunter Henry Over 25.5 Receiving Yards, Devin Singletary Under 50.5 Rush Yards

New England will need to contain Singletary in the running game if they are to have a chance of winning, while Henry is finally living up to the huge contract he received last year from the Patriots.

Value Bet

Kendrick Bourne
To Score A Touchdown

Kendrick Bourne has been out of favour in New England for much of this season but saw a season high four targets in the Patriots last game against the Vikings. Having scored twice against the Bills when they last played, he looks a nice price to find the end zone here.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.