The first NFC South matchup of the season brings great importance with the Bucs and Falcons projected to fight it out for divisional honours.
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Best Bet
Tampa Bay will likely be a more reliable proposition than Atlanta in 2025 but there is absolutely no doubt that the Falcons are a super bet as a home underdogs in Week 1.
Week 1 division home underdogs are an incredibly 18-4 against the spread since 2012, making the Falcons an auto-bet.
Confidence is increased by the trend that underdogs under 6.5 point cover at 60% on opening weekend.
There are some handy angles playing against Baker Mayfield too. Mayfield was sensational at the Bucs last year but now must handle the pressure of expectation. Mayfield covers at 38% when a favourite and is 6-14 against the number as a division favourite.
With Atlanta covering five of six against the Bucs, confidence is high on the Falcons here.
Same Game Multi
Bucky Irving scored in six of his last nine games last season and as clear top back this year is expected to take his game to the next level.
Bijan Robinson comes off a 15 touchdown year and is one of the most effective short yardage backs in the NFL.
Drake London had double digit targets in four of his last six games and has clearly developed a very positive relationship with Michael Penix Jr.
Value Bet
Darnell Mooney is a burner who will benefit from a full preseason with Michael Penix Jr. He ha a 992 yards, five TD season and that is expected to improve this year. Mooney is one to watch this year.
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