Tampa Bay have been in freefall and will not get it easy against a Miami side that continue to play hard even if execution has failed them.
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Best Bet
The Bucs season has turned from a comfortable division win to chasing the lowly Panthers for a playoff berth over the last seven weeks with just a single in in that run.
That win was far from impressive, sneaking home against the Cardinals. They have not covered any of those seven.
It has been a different story for Miami, who found a late-season kick with four straight wins before falling to both the Steelers and Bengals as the organisation looks to be making a permanent quarterback change.
Quinn Ewers looks far from ready but the running game of the Dolphins puts them right in the mix.
In the final two weeks of the season, eliminated teams cover at 61% against teams that need to win. Home teams also cover at 59% when two sub .500 teams meet in the final two weeks.
With Todd Bowles 16-25-2 against the spread off a division game, the Dolphins are the bet.
Same Game Multi
Sean Tucker looks to be the Bucs’ leading goal line option with a touchdown in each of his last three games.
Greg Dulcich has gone for 40-plus yards in each of the last three games including in Quinn Ewers’ debut.
Emeka Egbuka has at least 40 receiving yards in five of his last seven.
Value Bet
Jaylen Wright has played a increased role with the Dolphins the last few weeks with 24 touches against the Jets and 10 against the Bengals, scoring in each of those. With the Dolphins season over, they are likely to somewhat protect De’Von Achane and see what they have in Wright. If he gets a snap count of 25% or more as he has in two of the last three then he is an excellent bet to score.
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