The Bills will be looking to get back on track after a very disappointing loss to the Dolphins in Miami last week.
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The Bills have been a poor favourite at home this season and coupled with the Bucs good road record, it makes the away team the logical bet.
Buffalo have failed to cover in three games as home favourite this season, with the Dolphins, Saints and Patriots all covering their numbers.
Buffalo’s problems are twofold. They don’t have a genuine number one receiver, and haven’t since Stefon Diggs left. They are also vulnerable against the run when opposing teams stick to it – as Miami showed last week.
Baker and the Bucs are coming off a loss to the Pats last week but they have thrived in this situation, going 13-4 against the number off a defeat.
They have been a great road team this season, going 4-1 against the line.
Tampa is the play in this one.
Same Game Multi
With Dalton Kincaid out, tight end Dawson Knox will have a bigger role as a pass catcher. He has cleared this number in his last two games.
Noting the Bills struggles against the run, Bucs RB Rachaad White looks a strong bet to hit his number.
Value Bet
The Bucs have allowed 50 or more yards to an opposing tight end in three of their last five and Knox has the ability to put up those kinds of numbers when he gets the right targets.
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