The Steelers have dominated this AFC North battle with the Browns but this number does look a big one to lay in a divisional matchup so early in the season.
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Best Bet
Pittsburgh have won 21 straight home games against Cleveland and the Browns have moved away from their veteran quarterback in order to blood a rookie – so this game looked relatively easy on paper at first glance.
Delving deeper though the line of 5.5 seems very big with the Steelers being well overrated in this one.
The play on the Browns is very much a play against the Steelers laying a big number in this spot.
The Steelers under Mike Tomlin are a horrific 12-26-1 against the spread when favoured by more than four points.
Home teams off a bye also cover at just 44%.
Only three of the last 10 have been decided in Pittsburgh’s favour by more than six points. The plus is a play.
Same Game Multi
Quinhon Judkins has two touchdowns in his last three games and has at least 18 carries and a catch in each.
The Browns have the best rush defence in the NFL, conceding just 75.6 yards per game. Warren hasn’t topped 48 yards on the ground in any of his three starts.
David Njoku has topped this number in four of five games this year.
Value Bet
Rookie burner Isaiah Bond has quickly become the favourite target of rookie compadre Dylan Gabriel. The former Texas and Alabama flyer has 13 targets the last two weeks with no other wideout not named Jerry Jeudy relevant. Bond has pulled in five catches for 87 yards the last two weeks and the Steelers are vulnerable in the secondary. Bond is a great bet to haul in his first NFL touchdown.
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