NFL Tips – Browns @ Steelers – Week 11 2024

The 8-2 Steelers travel to Cleveland to play the 2-8 Browns on Thursday Night Football.

Best Bet

Browns +3.5
Line

Despite the win total discrepancy the Browns are the play on Thursday Night Football.

Cleveland were historically awful with Deshaun Watson as quarterback but they have certainly found a spark with Jameis Winston, putting up more than 400 yards of offence in two of the last three weeks.

The x-factor is the Browns tackle situation, but Alex Highsmith is a big loss for the Steelers at linebacker.

There are good trends pointing towards the Browns here. The Steelers have never won a road, divisional Thursday night game under Mike Tomlin in seven attempts.

Conversely, the Browns under Kevin Stefanski are 5-2 on Thursdays, and have won and covered in their last three.

Underdogs in AFC North divisional games are 48-31 since 2018.

Hold your nose and play the Browns in this one.


Same Game Multi

Browns +3.5, Chubb Over 70 Rushing Yards, Harris Over 60 Rushing Yards

Nick Chubb looked back to something near his best last week. Expect the Browns to commit to a run heavy offence.

Najee Harris has had 60 or more rushing yards in his last three games.


Value Bet

Najee Harris
First Touchdown Scorer

The Browns run defence is a weakness and they have allowed eight rushing touchdowns in their last four games.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.